Download Canadian Securities Course - Volume II (2010) by CSI Global Education Inc. PDF

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Companies in the mature stage usually have sufficient financial resources to weather difficult economic conditions. In general, during recessions, the share prices of mature industries fall less than an index like the S&P/TSX Composite Index. However, their share prices are not immune from declining. For example, over the last 30 years, there were six prolonged declines in stock market prices. The average length of these declines was about 11 months. 1%. 9%. © CSI GLOBAL EDUCATION INC. (2010) THIRTEEN • FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 13•15 DECLINING INDUSTRIES As industries move from the stable to the declining stage, they tend to grow at rates comparable to overall economic growth rate, or they stop growing and begin to decline.

MATURE INDUSTRIES Industry maturity is characterized by a dramatic slowing of growth to a rate that more closely matches the overall rate of economic growth. Both earnings and cash flow tend to be positive, but within the same industry, it is more difficult to identify differences in products between companies. Therefore, price competition increases, profit margins usually fall, and companies may expand into new businesses with better prospects for growth. Where consumer goods are concerned, product brand names, patents and copyrights become more important in reducing price competition.

There are two general categories of statistical tools: moving averages and oscillators. They are used to supplement chart analysis, either by identifying (or confirming) trends, or by giving an early warning signal that a particular trend is starting to lose momentum. A moving average is simply a device for smoothing out fluctuating values (week-to-week or dayto- day) in an individual stock or in the aggregate market as a whole. It shows long-term trends. By comparing current prices with the moving average line, the technician can see whether a change is signalled.

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